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The following diagram show the channel system of Cash Rate use by RBA.
Suppose the cash rate is at the policy target rate.
In the below diagram, policy target rate equals iT, IOR stands for Interest on Reserves, ES stands for Exchange Settlement funds.
The central bank knows that there will be large inflow of funds to the government account at the end of financial year due to payment of income tax from private sector. Assume that before the change the supply curve for reserves is given by ES . If the central bank takes no action in response to the flow of funds, which diagram below can illustrate what will happen to the supply curve for reserves and the actual value of the policy rate?
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